After building KAIROS Timing Analysis tool and the Delta Engine at The Markets Unplugged, we developed the APEX Macro Regime Dashboard, a Bitcoin and crypto market regime framework. This hub pulls everything into one place so you can understand what APEX is, how to use it, and how to follow the update archive as it grows.
This hub is maintained by The Markets Unplugged and updated as new APEX briefings go live.

Key Points

  • APEX classifies the regime backdrop as risk on, risk off, or mixed.
  • It is designed for Bitcoin, ETH, and altcoins, using cross market inputs to reduce headline noise.
  • The framework uses January ranges and monthly closes, keeping the regime read rules based and auditable.
  • APEX is delivered as member briefings, with a growing archive of updates over time.
  • This hub stays evergreen, the APEX archive grows as new updates are published.

Quick Answer

APEX is a market regime indicator built for Bitcoin and crypto. It classifies whether the broader environment is supportive of risk taking, turning defensive, or mixed, then delivers a clear regime read through periodic member updates.

Read This First

APEX is designed to stay disciplined when markets get noisy.

  • The primary regime read is based on monthly closes, not daily headlines.
  • January is used as the yearly reference range, then the rest of the year is judged against it.
  • Mid month changes can matter, but confirmation comes from the rules, not the narrative of the week.

Members Section

APEX is delivered as periodic member briefings, not a dashboard login. The goal is a consistent regime read for Bitcoin and crypto, based on rules and cross market confirmation.

Alpha Insider members get:

  • Monthly regime recaps after the monthly close
  • Event driven alerts when key signals shift meaningfully
  • Model year comparisons when historical analogues become relevant
  • Occasional playbooks that explain how to interpret mixed versus aligned conditions

Join Alpha Insider here.

How To Use This Hub

Use this page in three simple ways:

  • Use the jump links to go straight to what you need
  • Use the quick picker if you are not sure what to read next
  • Use the APEX Update Map to navigate the archive by update type
Jump To A Category
Start Here What APEX Is What APEX Tracks January Range Framework How APEX Updates Work APEX Update Map Common Traps To Avoid Mini FAQs Quick Picker

Quick Picker

Not sure where to start? Pick the closest match:

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What Is APEX

APEX is a rules based macro regime dashboard designed to serve one audience first, Bitcoin and crypto investors.

Crypto tends to move fastest when liquidity and risk appetite change. APEX exists to reduce surprise, cut through narrative churn, and keep the regime read consistent from month to month.

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Why Crypto Needs A Regime Lens

Bitcoin and altcoins do not trade in isolation. When broader risk appetite improves, crypto often benefits. When conditions tighten, crypto can turn reactive and volatile.

A regime lens is not about prediction. It is about classification.

Is the environment broadly supportive for crypto risk taking?
Or is it pushing the market toward defence and caution?

APEX is built to answer that with repeatable inputs.

What APEX Tracks (And Why It Matters For Bitcoin)

APEX is crypto first, but it watches multiple markets because they often explain the liquidity backdrop that crypto reacts to.

Typical inputs include:

  • US equities (risk appetite temperature checks)
  • Credit (stress gauge, especially high yield behaviour)
  • FX risk barometers (risk seeking versus caution)
  • US dollar strength (often linked to tighter global conditions)
  • Copper versus gold (growth versus defence)
  • Bitcoin (crypto’s high beta proxy, and the market you care about most)

This is the point of cross confirmation. It reduces the chance you are reading one market in isolation and calling it a regime shift.

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How The January Range Framework Works

APEX uses January as a yearly anchor.

In straightforward terms:

  • January forms a reference range using the month’s high and low.
  • Subsequent monthly closes are evaluated against that reference to classify the year’s direction and posture.

This approach is useful because it is observable, consistent, and easy to review over time. It is built to stay disciplined when markets get noisy.

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How APEX Updates Are Delivered

APEX is delivered as a members update series. There is no dashboard login for subscribers.

Members receive:

  • A monthly regime recap after the monthly close
  • Event driven alerts on the private TMU Telegram Group when important signals change meaningfully on the
  • Periodic “model year” comparisons when historical analogues become relevant
  • Occasional playbooks that explain how to interpret mixed versus aligned conditions

Most updates are paywalled, with a short public preview so non members can see what APEX is tracking before subscribing.

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How To Use APEX As A Bitcoin And Crypto Workflow

APEX is designed to be used quickly, without obsessing over every daily swing.

A simple workflow:

  • Read the latest APEX update, focus on the regime label and what changed since the previous update.
  • Note whether signals are aligned or mixed across markets.
  • Translate the regime read into a posture for Bitcoin and broader crypto risk appetite.
  • Track the “what would change this view” section so you stay grounded when conditions evolve.

This keeps the process consistent. The archive then becomes your context library.

APEX Update Types

To keep the archive clean and easy to follow, APEX updates are published in repeatable formats.

Common types include:

  • Monthly regime recap
  • Range break alert
  • Model year comparison
  • Playbook note

As the series grows, this hub remains the stable reference point, and the update stream becomes the living archive.

APEX Update Map

Start Here

  • What Is APEX? The Bitcoin Risk On Vs Risk Off Framework Behind Our Regime Updates

Latest APEX Update

Playbooks

Monthly Regime Recaps

No monthly recaps published yet.

Break Alerts

No break alerts published yet.

Model Year Notes

No model year notes published yet.

Browse The Full APEX Archive

For previous updates check the APEX Macro Regime Dashboard archive page

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Common Traps To Avoid

  • Treating one headline as a regime shift, instead of waiting for rules based confirmation.
  • Overweighting one market, and ignoring cross market confirmation.
  • Focusing on the conclusion only, and not tracking what changed between updates.
  • Using APEX as a short term prediction tool, instead of a regime classification framework.

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Mini FAQs

Is APEX a risk on risk off indicator for crypto?
Yes. The main outcome is a regime read that classifies conditions as risk friendly, defensive, or mixed, designed for Bitcoin and crypto context.

How often are APEX updates published?
The core cadence is monthly, based on monthly closes, plus event driven alerts when key signals change meaningfully.

Do members get direct access to the dashboard?
No. APEX is delivered through member briefings and updates published by the Markets Unplugged team.

What makes APEX different from a typical macro dashboard?
Most dashboards show charts without a clear regime classification. APEX is rules based and built around repeatable regime labels that can be tracked over time.

Can APEX help with altcoins too?
Yes. The regime lens is designed to inform broader crypto risk appetite, not just Bitcoin, while keeping the process consistent and auditable.

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This page is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice, investment advice, or a recommendation to buy or sell any asset. Markets involve risk and outcomes are uncertain. You are responsible for your own decisions. Consider seeking independent financial advice where appropriate.