ETH just made a quiet move while our clock stays supportive. The plan is straightforward: let price prove it, then act with a simple rule and tight risk. Charts + checklist inside.

Member Report - ETH (1D) · Post-Break, Spot Focus

(🟩 = Bottom-time, 🟪 = Top-time; trigger = trend-line break & hold)

Where we are now

  • 🟩 Bottom-time is ACTIVE (~3 bars in).
  • 🟪 Next Top-time projected in ~4–10 bars.
  • ✅ Breakout happened: price broke the falling trend-line.
  • 📊 Confidence ~85%, Z-prom ~1.35, Confluence: EMA200 • FLD.
  • ⏱️ Cycle tempo: Dominant/Half ≈ 45 / 22 bars.

What that usually means

ETH is in the window to base/advance. With the break already in, the job now is to hold above the line, build higher-lows, and push toward nearby resistance before the next 🟪 window.

Action plan (spot only)

If you’re already long (bought the break)

  • Protect: place your main stop just below the broken trend-line or below the breakout bar’s low.
  • Add: on a clean retest & hold of the broken line or after a first higher-low above it.
  • Scale out: into prior swing highs / EMA200 / FLD as we approach the 🟪 window.

If you’re flat (missed the break)

  • Plan A - Retest Buy: wait for a pullback to the broken line; buy only if it holds.
  • Plan B - Continuation Buy: buy a break of the most recent swing high, then add on the first higher-low.

What to watch next

  • ✅ 1–2 daily closes above the line (or a successful retest) → confirms durability.
  • ✅ Higher-lows stepping up above the line.
  • ⚠️ Headwinds: EMA200/FLD cluster and recent supply; expect reactions there.
  • ⏳ Timing: push can extend 4–10 bars into 🟪; reassess for topping behaviour when the purple window arrives.

Invalidation (exit cues)

  • ❌ Daily close back below the broken trend-line.
  • ❌ Loss of the first higher-low after the break.
  • ❌ Failed retest (tap of the line → swift rejection back under).

Do / Don’t (quick checklist)

  • ✅ Let the line do the work: buy strength that holds above it.
  • ✅ Start small, add on retest/hold or higher-low.
  • ✅ Trim into known resistance; keep a runner if structure improves.
  • ❌ Don’t chase a candle far above the line-wait for retests.
  • ❌ Don’t add if the break is lost; stand down and let it reset.

Takeaway

ETH broke the down-trend inside Bottom-time. Now it’s about holding the break and building higher-lows. Add on strength; manage risk below the line; harvest into resistance as the Top-time window (4–10 bars) approaches.