Start Here
- Macro indicators, also called economic indicators, are data points that describe policy, liquidity, inflation, growth, credit conditions, and risk appetite across markets.
- They help explain what is happening beneath price across equities, rates, FX, commodities, and crypto.
- This page is the public hub for the Macro Heat library, designed to help you find the right indicator fast, then open the guide that matches your question.
- This hub is updated as new guides go live, so it stays current as the library grows.
- If any terms feel unfamiliar, keep the Crypto Glossary for Beginners open in another tab, then return here.
Key Points
- Most macro analysis can be organised into a few families, rates, liquidity, inflation, credit, volatility, growth, the dollar, and positioning.
- Leading indicators often move first, policy expectations, liquidity conditions, credit spreads, and volatility… slower data can confirm later and is often revised.
- This hub is designed for fast navigation, start with the question, choose the category, then open the guide that fits.
- For most readers, a weekly review is enough… daily checking usually matters only around event weeks.
- This hub is updated as new guides go live, so it stays current as the library grows.
Members Macro Analysis And Commentary
- This macro hub includes both free guides and deeper members-only posts.
- Free posts focus on education, definitions, workflows, and how to read each indicator.
- Members-only posts add analysis and commentary from Oz, combining multiple indicators into one view so the macro picture is not read in isolation.
- If you click a post and it is paywalled, that is a members analysis piece.
Quick Picker
- Start with the question you are trying to answer.
- Use the matching section below to find the right group of macro guides.
- If the question is “Why did markets move?” start with Rates And Policy, then check Volatility And Risk Pricing and Credit And Funding Stress.
- If the question is “Is liquidity helping or hurting risk?” start with Liquidity And Money, then cross check FX And The Dollar and Financial Conditions.
- If the question is “Is inflation pressure rising or fading?” start with Inflation And Expectations, then confirm with Commodities And Growth Signals and Growth And Labour.
- If the question is “Is this trend driven or positioning driven?” start with Trend And Positioning, then confirm with Volatility And Risk Pricing.
- For most readers, a weekly check is enough… daily macro watching usually adds noise unless it is an event week.
Rates And Policy
- Fed Funds, SOFR, And How Policy Hits Liquidity
- Rate Cuts vs Pauses How To Read Market Pricing Into Risk Assets
- What Is The 2s10s Yield Curve And What Does Inversion Really Signal
- Are Markets Repeating 2020? The Yield Curve, Growth Risks, and What It Means for Bitcoin
- Bank Of Japan Rate Hike What It Really Means For Bitcoin And Crypto
Liquidity And Money
- Reverse Repo (RRP) And Bank Reserves The Quiet Liquidity Dial
- Treasury General Account (TGA) And The Fed Balance Sheet Net Liquidity 101 (Coming soon)
- Net Liquidity 101 RRP TGA And The Fed Balance Sheet In One Read (Coming soon)
- M2 Money Supply 101 What It Measures And What It Does Not
- Low Velocity Rising Liquidity Why Bitcoin Is Front Running The Pivot
- Why Rate Cuts Matter Even When Liquidity Is Already High Stock vs Flow Explained
- Trapped Liquidity Dead Velocity And The Risk Asset Rally No One Understands
- Liquidity Velocity And The Bubble That Never Left What 2020 Taught Us And What Still Lurks Today
Inflation And Expectations
- CPI vs Core CPI What Moves Markets And Why It Is Different From PCE
- PCE Inflation Explained Why The Fed Cares More About It Than CPI
- Breakeven Inflation And TIPS Reading 5 Year And 10 Year Expectations
- Truflation vs CPI Markets Are Moving Before The Fed Blinks
- CPI Falls To 2.4 Percent But Market Reaction Suggests A Broader Narrative Battle
Volatility And Risk Pricing
- What Is The VIX Understanding Volatility Through A Macro Lens
- VIX vs MOVE Equity Vol And Bond Vol Do Not Tell The Same Story
- High Yield Spread vs VIX Equity Fear Lags Credit Sometimes (Coming soon)
Credit And Funding Stress
- High Yield Spreads And Why Credit Leads Risk
- BBB Spread 101 The Line Between Safe And Spicy Credit
- Investment Grade vs High Yield What IG OAS Tells You That HY Does Not (Coming soon)
- Commercial Paper And Funding Stress Reading CP Rates And TED Style Gaps (Coming soon)
- Bank Lending Standards (SLOOS) Why Tighter Can Bite Risk Assets (Coming soon)
- Financial Conditions Index What Tight And Loose Really Mean (Coming soon)
- This Is Not 2008 It Is A Positioning Reset Not A Credit Crisis
FX And The Dollar
- Dollar Index And Liquidity Why DXY Strength Can Hit Crypto
- Why The Dollar Is Not Spiking Even As The US China Trade War Heats Up
Commodities And Growth Signals
- Oil Copper And Growthy Commodities As Macro Tells
- What Are Real Yields And Why Do They Matter For Gold
Growth And Labour
- Jobless Claims And Payrolls Which Labour Signals Matter For Markets (Coming soon)
- PMIs 101 Manufacturing Services And The New Orders Tell (Coming soon)
Trend And Positioning
- CTA Trend Models In Plain English Why Slow Money Matters (Coming soon)
- Futures Basis And Funding Spot Perp Signals Traders Miss
Macro Narratives And Case Studies
These are not pure indicator primers… they are scenario reads and narrative framing pieces. They can still be useful once you know the basics.
- Vertical Repricing When The Market Stops Asking Questions
- What If The Vertical Repricing Already Started
- Where Are We In The Cycle The Quiet Setup Before The Next Market Move
- Trump Tariffs Inflation Panic And What Markets Learned The First Time Around
- The 10 Year Treasury Yield Why It Is The Single Most Important Number In Global Markets
- Macro Chart Checklist How to Read The Pulse Of The Market Without The Noise
Mini FAQs
What are macro indicators and economic indicators?
They are data points that describe policy, liquidity, inflation, growth, credit conditions, and risk appetite across markets.
What are leading economic indicators?
Leading indicators tend to change before the economy and earnings do, examples include rate expectations, credit spreads, volatility, and certain survey data.
What is the difference between leading, lagging, and coincident indicators?
Leading indicators often move first, coincident indicators describe what is happening now, lagging indicators confirm what already happened.
What should be checked first each week?
Rates and policy expectations, liquidity conditions, credit spreads, and volatility usually frame the week fastest.
How should macro indicators be used in a simple workflow?
Start with rates and liquidity, then check credit and volatility, then use inflation and labour data as confirmation.
Where can these macro indicators be tracked?
Most are available through central banks, national statistics releases, and widely used market data platforms, then summarised in Macro Heat guides here.
Why do macro indicators sometimes conflict?
Different parts of the system can move in opposite directions, for example easing liquidity with sticky inflation, or strong growth with rising credit stress.
How does macro affect crypto?
Crypto tends to respond to the same regime forces as other risk assets, liquidity, the dollar, real yields, and volatility often shape the environment.
How often should macro be checked?
Weekly is enough for most readers. Daily checks make sense mainly during event weeks such as CPI, central bank decisions, or major risk shocks.
If this helped and you want the analysis layer, members-only posts add macro analysis and commentary from Oz, combining multiple indicators into one view so you can see how the team is framing the market.
Alpha Insider members also get:
➡️ Kairos timing windows to plan entries before the crowd moves
➡️ A full DCA Targets page with levels mapped for this cycle
➡️ Exclusive member videos breaking down charts in plain English
➡️ A private Telegram community where conviction is shared daily
➡️ A dedicated Macro Analysis page with regularly updated analysis and monthly reports
Legal And Risk Notice
This content is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Markets are volatile and you can lose money. Do your own research and consider your risk tolerance before making financial decisions.
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