The Delta Engine has a track record now. Strong signals across tops and bottoms, scored on closing prices with peak gains, max drawdowns and one honest miss included. This is what 18 months of live signals looks like.

Since January 2024 the engine has fired 11 strong signals. Weak signals are not included. They do not have a reliable track record and combining them with the strong signal record would distort the picture.

Strong Bottoms · 4 signals

Three of the four never closed below the entry price after firing. The worst drawdown was 5% before a 45% rally. The April 2025 entry at $83,691 never went underwater and ran to $123,152, a 47% gain at peak.

10 Mar 2025 · $82,520 · Peak gain +45% · Max drawdown -5%

7 Apr 2025 · $83,691 · Peak gain +47% · Never closed below entry

21 Apr 2025 · $93,722 · Peak gain +31% · Never closed below entry

30 Mar 2026 · $68,319 · Peak gain +20% · Max drawdown -4%

Strong Tops · 7 signals

Six of seven produced meaningful drops. Every strong top except one was followed by a decline of between 10% and 25%.

1 Jan 2024 · $43,943 · Miss — price rallied 62% before pulling back

26 Feb 2024 · $63,167 · Max drop -12% · Pre-warning ahead of the March cluster

4 Mar 2024 · $69,019 · Max drop -21%

11 Mar 2024 · $68,390 · Max drop -20%

9 Dec 2024 · $104,298 · Max drop -25%

19 May 2025 · $108,996 · Max drop -19%

14 Jul 2025 · $117,350 · Max drop -25%

The Honest Caveat

The January 2024 miss matters. Price rallied 62% after the signal fired before eventually pulling back. The engine can fire early in a strong bull trend. That is the edge case in this dataset.

11 signals across 18 months is a small sample. These are historical frequencies, not forward projections. A strong signal means conditions aligned across the factors the engine tracks. It does not mean the move is certain.

Weak signals are not in this record. The current signal is a Weak Top. Weak signals sit below the threshold that produces reliable outcomes.

The full breakdown with every entry date, price and return is on the Delta Engine dashboard.

Not financial advice. Always do your own research.