DCA Targets Methodology | The Markets Unplugged

Methodology

The level that says you were wrong is set first.

DCA Targets gives each tracked coin a set of accumulation zones, staged profit targets, and a defined level at which the thesis no longer holds, all shown against live price. It is a planning framework. Every level in it comes from research judgement, and the tool displays them rather than deriving them.

A TMU platform tool

Position decisions taken during a sharp move are almost always worse than the same decisions taken in advance. Everyone knows this. Almost nobody writes the plan down, which means the plan gets improvised at exactly the moment improvisation is most expensive.

DCA Targets exists to make that plan concrete before it is needed. For each coin it lays out where accumulation was intended, where profit-taking is staged, and the level at which the original reasoning is considered broken. Everything is shown against live price with the distance to each level, so a plan stays anchored to where things actually are rather than to where they were when it was written.

The invalidation level is the part that matters most and the part most planning tools leave out. Defining the exit before you need it is the whole discipline.

01
Every coin carries an invalidation level

Not a stop loss and not a recommendation, but a defined point at which the reasoning behind the levels is treated as broken. It is set alongside the entries rather than left to be decided in the moment. A thesis with no invalidation is not a thesis, it is a hope with price targets attached.

02
Staged, because markets rarely reward all or nothing

Entries come as zones and profit-taking comes in stages, over a longer major-cycle horizon and, where it applies, a shorter near-term one. A single entry and a single exit is a bet on being right twice. Staging lets a plan be partly right, which is the outcome most plans actually get.

03
Targets are withheld when they would be invented

Near-term targets are deliberately suppressed during corrective phases, so a coin can legitimately show entry zones and no targets at all. That looks like something missing and it is the tool declining to publish a number it does not believe in. An empty field is more honest than a placeholder target.

04
It displays levels, it does not compute them

No model inside this tool derives entries or targets. The levels are judgement-based inputs produced by TMU's research and stored; the tool reads them, shows the distance to each, and tracks which have been reached. Describing it as a model that calculates levels would be false, and it is worth being clear about what the machine is doing.

The hit-rate readout is not a track record

The page shows a rough progress figure for targets reached. It is calculated in your own browser by comparing current price against the levels, and it is stored on your device. A target that was reached and then lost may not be counted unless that browser happened to observe it, two members can see different figures for the same coins, and clearing browser data resets it. It is a convenience indicator. It is not audited, it is not a performance claim, and it is not published as one anywhere.

There is no backtest behind the levels

The levels come from research judgement rather than from a tested model, and there is no backtested performance record, sample size, or confidence interval sitting behind them. Anyone offering those numbers for a set of judgement-based levels would be manufacturing them.

Coverage is uneven and the board moves slowly

Some coins carry both horizons, others only one. The two market indices included for context carry no live price, so no distances or alerts apply to them. Levels change only when the underlying research is updated, so the page does not refresh itself into a new opinion.

Live prices depend on an outside provider

Prices come from an external market-data source. When it is unavailable the page falls back to the last cached values, which means a distance figure can briefly be measured against a slightly stale price.

Start at the invalidation
Before the entries and well before the targets. Knowing where the idea breaks, and how far away that is from here, is what tells you whether the rest of the plan is worth building.
Missing targets are information
A coin showing entries and no near-term targets is telling you the near-term picture is corrective. That absence carries a message rather than indicating something broken.
Treat the levels as a starting frame
They reflect TMU's research judgement, not your position size, your timeframe or your circumstances. The framework is the useful part. The decisions stay yours.

Plans made calmly survive markets that are not.

Members get the full framework across 42 coins plus 2 market indices, with entries, staged targets, invalidation levels and live distances.

Last reviewed: 27 July 2026. This page is maintained against the tool as it is actually built. When the tool changes, this page changes.
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