KAIROS Cycle Timing | The Markets Unplugged
Alpha Insider · Full KAIROS dashboard active

KAIROS cycle timing

Cycle Low Dashboard

KAIROS maps probable cycle-low zones across Bitcoin, Ethereum, and macro markets. Not a signal system — a timing framework built on four years of cycle research.

v7
Current version
—
Last updated
4+
Years of data
Access tier
Alpha Insider
and above
Live zones, drop targets,
recovery tracking
Methodology & caveats

KAIROS identifies historical cycle-low zones of interest using nested cycle analysis. A zone is not a confirmed bottom — confirmation comes when price reclaims its reference levels across three recovery stages.

📐
Win rate — historical non-failure frequency from past windows of the same tier, timeframe, and market context. Not a prediction.
📏
Median move — measured from the cycle pivot, not current price. Bear-context windows have historically been harder than bull-context windows.
📊
Drop zone — how far below the window-open price the pivot has historically fallen. Q1 is the shallow end, median the midpoint, Q3 the deep end.
⚠️
Nothing here is financial advice. Always do your own research. Past windows do not guarantee future performance.
Loading cycle data…

How KAIROS works

Three layers of analysis combined into a single cycle-timing read. No single indicator drives the output.

01
Nested cycle identification
KAIROS maps short, intermediate, and long-degree cycles simultaneously. When multiple cycle degrees align at the same zone, the probability of a meaningful low increases significantly.
02
Historical window validation
Every active zone is validated against every comparable window in the data set — same asset, same timeframe, same market context. Win rate, median move, and drop zone are derived from that sample.
03
Recovery stage tracking
A zone is not a confirmed low until price reclaims its reference levels. KAIROS tracks three sequential recovery stages in real time, so you know exactly where confirmation stands.
Example zone — Bitcoin weekly Alpha Insider only
BITCOIN Weekly
Pivot $76,240 · Apr 7, 2026
Window closes in 3 weeks · ends Jun 23, 2026
Active · Bear · B-tier
Win rate
100%
recovery frequency
Median move
+49%
from pivot
Typical range
+28% to +56%
middle 50% of outcomes
Drop zone — how low may it go? Bear context
0%open$84,200
6.1%Q1$79,065
12.4%median$73,759
19.8%Q3$67,529
Drop measured from window-open price · 5 past windows
Recovery 7 weeks in zone · validated against 5 past windows
Alpha Insider only
Win rates, drop targets, and recovery tracking are visible to Alpha Insider members and above.

What Insider members see

Every active zone across the tracked universe, updated in real time.

📐
Win rate by context
Historical non-failure rate from past windows matching the same asset, timeframe, tier, and market context (bull vs bear). Quoted separately — no mixing.
🎯
Drop zone targets
Q1, median, and Q3 price levels showing how far the cycle pivot has historically fallen below the window-open price. Current price shown on the same scale.
📈
Median move from pivot
The IQR of historical moves from each cycle pivot — Q1 to Q3 range and median. Measured from the pivot, not from current price, so the math is accurate.
🔄
Recovery stage tracking
Three-stage confirmation system. Stage 1 is the first reclaim, Stage 3 is full structural confirmation. You see exactly where each zone stands.
🌐
Multi-asset coverage
BTC, ETH, SPX, and Gold tracked simultaneously. When multiple assets hit cycle-low zones together, the cross-asset signal is surfaced explicitly.
⏱️
Window close countdown
Every zone has a close date. The dashboard shows how many days or weeks remain in the window, expressed in the timeframe's native unit.

Assets tracked

KAIROS runs across multiple timeframes for each asset — daily, weekly, and monthly windows all monitored.

Bitcoin (BTC)
Ethereum (ETH)
S&P 500 (SPX)
Gold
Alpha Insider membership

Unlock the full KAIROS dashboard

Live cycle-low zones, drop targets, win rates, and recovery tracking across BTC, ETH, SPX, and Gold. Updated in real time.

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