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© 2026 The Markets Unplugged · Data in. Conviction out. - Published with Ghost & Aspect

ISM Surprise: Why Better Growth Isn’t Always Bullish for Markets

  • Oz by Oz
    Oz Oz
    Technical analyst and macro researcher at The Markets Unplugged. Creator of KAIROS v6 cycle-timing, the Delta Engine (6-factor weekly BTC signal), the BTC/VIX framework, and the Apex Macro Dashboard. Publishes the Cycle Read every Monday.
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  • April 13, 2025
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  • 2 min read
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ISM Surprise: Why Better Growth Isn’t Always Bullish for Markets
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On the surface, the latest ISM Manufacturing PMI data appears to be good news: a move from 45.5 to 47.6, comfortably ahead of expectations. It suggests U.S. manufacturing is contracting at a slower rate — a tentative signal of stabilisation.

Yet for investors navigating a market built on dovish assumptions, this upside surprise introduces a layer of macro friction. The question isn’t whether growth is returning — it’s what that means for the liquidity landscape.


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Oz Oz
Technical analyst and macro researcher at The Markets Unplugged. Creator of KAIROS v6 cycle-timing, the Delta Engine (6-factor weekly BTC signal), the BTC/VIX framework, and the Apex Macro Dashboard. Publishes the Cycle Read every Monday.
  • Website
  • X

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The Markets Unplugged · Data in. Conviction out.
  • Home
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